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Wednesday, October 01, 2008

The 3 Views of Analysis

Don Vialoux assesses the market using three things: technical, fundamental, and seasonal analysis. Using seasonality, it is possible to trade based on the time of the year.

In his most recent post here, he wrote the following:

Seasonality in the month of October

During the past 10 Octobers, equity markets around the world have recorded strong gains:

  • The S&P 500 Index gained in 8 of the past 10 Octobers for an average return per period of 3.02%. October was the strongest month of the year.
  • The TSX Composite Index also gained in 8 of the past 10 Octobers. Average gain per period was 1.47%. October was the third best performing month.
  • The Dow Jones Transportation Average gained in 10 of the past 10 Octobers. Average gain per period was 5.12%. October was the strongest month.
  • The Russell 2000 Index gained in 7 of the past 10 Octobers. Average gain per period was 2.26%. October was the second strongest month.
  • The NASDAQ Composite Index advanced in 8 of the past 10 Octobers. Average gain per period was 6.06%. October was the strongest month of the year.
  • The Paris CAC Index advanced in 9 of the past 10 Octobers. Average gain per period was 3.84%. October was the best performing month of the year.
  • The Frankfurt DAX Index advanced in 9 of the past 10 periods. Average gain per October was 4.56%. October was the best performing month of the year.
  • The London FT Index rose in 7 of the past 10 Octobers. Average gain per period was 3.25%. October was the best performing month of the year.
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose in 8 of the past 10 Octobers. Average gain per period was 2.89%. October was the best performing month of the year.
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